Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.753700 0.845819 0.946016 1.063294 1.197053 1.345141 1.521910
2025-02-09 0.613207 0.738670 0.886326 1.073782 1.306636 1.587927 1.955810
2025-02-16 0.533381 0.672924 0.845882 1.077692 1.382777 1.774077 2.319560
2025-02-23 0.482351 0.631962 0.825454 1.096715 1.471450 1.977126 2.721770
2025-03-02 0.427033 0.577094 0.778089 1.070609 1.491480 2.084378 2.999414
2025-03-09 0.397509 0.552767 0.767580 1.091315 1.575251 2.285376 3.431712
2025-03-16 0.363550 0.518226 0.738360 1.080416 1.609287 2.414016 3.766537
2025-03-23 0.340340 0.496567 0.724904 1.090150 1.673370 2.592299 4.198379
2025-03-30 0.313877 0.467487 0.697364 1.074723 1.694975 2.703564 4.530325
2025-04-06 0.292758 0.444588 0.676935 1.067861 1.728447 2.835723 4.911762
2025-04-13 0.265301 0.409586 0.634620 1.021296 1.690416 2.841781 5.066345
2025-04-20 0.253300 0.398135 0.628754 1.034276 1.754618 3.030624 5.580013
2025-04-27 0.242805 0.388613 0.625704 1.052506 1.831224 3.252443 6.192283
2025-05-04 0.231173 0.376349 0.617126 1.060308 1.889787 3.447550 6.779564
2025-05-11 0.219992 0.363938 0.607174 1.064423 1.941282 3.633777 7.372904
2025-05-18 0.212165 0.356663 0.605445 1.083158 2.022058 3.885534 8.140972
2025-05-25 0.198110 0.337475 0.581161 1.057413 2.012839 3.953957 8.512278
2025-06-01 0.192013 0.332010 0.581125 1.077834 2.097875 4.226522 9.388867
2025-06-08 0.182012 0.318783 0.565852 1.067086 2.117528 4.361441 9.959449
2025-06-15 0.175490 0.311498 0.561083 1.076686 2.180566 4.597589 10.811577
2025-06-22 0.166288 0.298613 0.544788 1.061471 2.188584 4.710774 11.370367
2025-06-29 0.158775 0.288460 0.533063 1.054704 2.214383 4.867412 12.065756
2025-07-06 0.147238 0.269920 0.503793 1.008777 2.148131 4.800139 12.151510